- The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Tigers are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-36 ATS.
Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 1-8, 3.68 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-3, 3.19 ERA
Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | +165 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | -200 |
Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+22.90 Units / 127% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+14.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+14.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+14.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 55 games (+19.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.59 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 32-39 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -11.3% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 39-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.2 Units / 13.61% ROI
- 26-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -22.59% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-36 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -4.63% ROI).
- 38-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -9.4% ROI
- 26-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -23.04% ROI
- 40-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.45 Units / 14.95% ROI
Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (200/303) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (200/303) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Reese Olson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Reese Olson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.2 MPH (177 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (55 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Max Fried has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (159/363) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.2 MPH this season (177 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 26-4 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 25-101 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 50-51 (.495) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 34-64 (.347) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,107 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .652 (11,107 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .216 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .473 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .687 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .383 (1,078 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Braves hitters are slugging .459 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 194 of 2,642 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,625 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,625 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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