- The White Sox (39-43) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (36-47)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-0), 1.50 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (2-4), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 36-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-45 ATS.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -110 | +135 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 69% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 114% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 94% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 42 games at home (+21.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Robert | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Luis Robert | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luis Robert | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Cueto | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Garrett Hill | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+18.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-42 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 36-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.45% ROI
- 29-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.45 Units / -26.77% ROI
- 49-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.55 Units / 19.13% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -9.63% ROI).
- 39-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -11.58% ROI
- 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.89% ROI
- 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -6.21% ROI
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .105 (2-for-19) against Garrett Hill — tied for 11th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .226 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Garrett Hill — 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (48/262) against Johnny Cueto on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 22% (71/328) against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of 2020 is 412.4 feet — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (26/106) against Johnny Cueto this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Tigers are just 3-34 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Tigers are 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The White Sox are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The White Sox are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The White Sox are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .589 (1,326 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,326 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .323 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .286 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (247 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
The White Sox are batting just .130 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
White Sox hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 24%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox have allowed 5.79 runs per game (243/42) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
White Sox pitchers have walked 309 of 3,178 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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