Tigers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The White Sox (39-43) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (36-47)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-0), 1.50 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (2-4), 3.30 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Tigers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 36-47 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-45 ATS.

Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 8.5 -110+135
White Sox -1.5 +120U 8.5 -110-165

Tigers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 94% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 42 games at home (+21.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)

White Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Jose Abreu 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Leury Garcia 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Luis Robert 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

White Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Leury Garcia 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Luis Robert 1.5 +175 1.5 -250

White Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jose Abreu 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Luis Robert 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Seby Zavala 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

White Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnny Cueto 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
Garrett Hill 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+18.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-42 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 36-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.45% ROI
  • 29-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.45 Units / -26.77% ROI
  • 49-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.55 Units / 19.13% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -9.63% ROI).

  • 39-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -11.58% ROI
  • 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.89% ROI
  • 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -6.21% ROI

Opponents batted just .105 (2-for-19) against Garrett Hill — tied for 11th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .226 — 90th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Garrett Hill — 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (48/262) against Johnny Cueto on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 22% (71/328) against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of 2020 is 412.4 feet — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (26/106) against Johnny Cueto this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Tigers are just 3-34 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Tigers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Tigers are 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The White Sox are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The White Sox are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The White Sox are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The White Sox are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .589 (1,326 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,326 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .323 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The White Sox are batting .286 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (247 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.

The White Sox are batting just .130 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

White Sox hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 313 total hits (just 24%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The White Sox have allowed 5.79 runs per game (243/42) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

White Sox pitchers have walked 309 of 3,178 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.