- The Yankees (37-15) are -350 favorites vs the Tigers (21-31)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (0-4), 5.25 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (3-1), 3.375 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+260) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-350) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 21-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 27-25 ATS.
Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +2.5 -110 | O 9 -110 | +260 |
| Yankees | -2.5 -110 | U 9 -110 | -350 |
Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 52% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+16.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1H Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1H Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -9.25% ROI).
- 21-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -10.78% ROI
- 16-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -35.33% ROI
- 33-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 27.67% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 27-25 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 4.3% ROI).
- 37-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -17.75% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 8.29% ROI
Beau Brieske: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (5/49) against Beau Brieske this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 8% (6/72) against Beau Brieske when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (52 Total Bases / 81 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (14/104) against Beau Brieske this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .034 (1-for-29) against Luis Severino with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .178 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (79/232) against Luis Severino this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 48% (32 SO in 67 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 90th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (40 Total Bases / 80 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 13th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Tigers are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Tigers are just 1-22 (.043) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 7-16 (.304) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Yankees are 21-7 (.750) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Yankees are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .296 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (811 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .604 (1,835 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Tigers are batting just .269 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .601 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Yankees are batting just .322 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 127 of 1,888 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
- Robert Grossman (Tigers): Neck, D10
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Vertigo, D10
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Victor Reyes (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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