- The Twins (52-44) are -105 favorites vs the Brewers (53-44)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (6-4), 4.70 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Ethan Small (0-0), 6.75 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Twins vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 52-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-57 ATS.
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 9 +100 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -120 | -115 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 38 games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Omar Narvaez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Bundy | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 94 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 84 games (+7.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.54% ROI).
- 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -5.16% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 40-57 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -17.54% ROI).
- 53-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 48-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 44-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -7.53% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 70% of Dylan Bundy’s pitches (232/333) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (247/333) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has struck out just 12% (17/144) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 70% (337/484) when ahead in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Ethan Small: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ethan Small has limited playing time.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 44-6 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Twins are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Twins are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Brewers are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .429 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,665 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .753 (2,665 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Twins hitters have not struck out in 14 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,551 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Brewers hitters have 246 strikeouts in 1,012 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (2,282 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, Day-to-Day
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