Twins vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (52-44) are -105 favorites vs the Brewers (53-44)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (6-4), 4.70 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Ethan Small (0-0), 6.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Twins vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 52-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-57 ATS.

Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +145O 9 +100-105
Brewers +1.5 -175U 9 -120-115

Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 71.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 38 games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Christian Yelich 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Kolten Wong 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Luis Urias 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kolten Wong 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Luis Urias 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Omar Narvaez 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Christian Yelich 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Kolten Wong 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Luis Urias 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Bundy 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 94 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 84 games (+7.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.54% ROI).

  • 52-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.73% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.28% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -5.16% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 40-57 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -17.54% ROI).

  • 53-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -6.72% ROI
  • 48-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 44-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -7.53% ROI

Hitters have swung at 70% of Dylan Bundy’s pitches (232/333) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (247/333) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has struck out just 12% (17/144) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 70% (337/484) when ahead in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Ethan Small: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ethan Small has limited playing time.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 44-6 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Twins are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Twins are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Brewers are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Brewers are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Brewers are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Twins hitters are slugging .429 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,665 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .753 (2,665 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Twins hitters have not struck out in 14 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,551 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Brewers hitters have 246 strikeouts in 1,012 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (2,282 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.