Twins vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:23 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (5-2), 2.28 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (6-2), 2.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Minnesota Twins () visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-31 ATS.

Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins O
Mariners U

Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 54 games (+19.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 53 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jesse Winker 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jesse Winker 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jesse Winker 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 52 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+1.72 Units / 6% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 29-34 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -7.87% ROI).

  • 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 8.89% ROI
  • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -6.12% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-31 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -9.23% ROI).

  • 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.6% ROI
  • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -7.4% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .186 (29-for-156) against Joe Ryan this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 96th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (27/150) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (37/114) against Joe Ryan this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (4-for-40) against Joe Ryan’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert allowed a batting average of just .154 vs right-handed batters (tied for sixth best)– 93rd Percentile and .381 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Logan Gilbert on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .277 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (30/84) against Logan Gilbert in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (40/118) against Logan Gilbert this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Twins are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Twins are just 13-102 (.113) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are just 26-28 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mariners are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Twins hitters are slugging .583 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Twins hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,660 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Twins hitters are slugging .425 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters have drawn 72 walks in 632 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed 513 barreled balls since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH this season (1,494 balls in play) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.