- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (5-2), 2.28 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (6-2), 2.40 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Minnesota Twins () visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-31 ATS.
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | O | ||
| Mariners | U |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 54 games (+19.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 53 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 52 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+1.72 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 29-34 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -7.87% ROI).
- 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.82% ROI
- 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -6.12% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-31 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -9.23% ROI).
- 27-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.6% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -7.4% ROI
Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (29-for-156) against Joe Ryan this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (27/150) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (37/114) against Joe Ryan this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (4-for-40) against Joe Ryan’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert allowed a batting average of just .154 vs right-handed batters (tied for sixth best)– 93rd Percentile and .381 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Logan Gilbert on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .277 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (30/84) against Logan Gilbert in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (40/118) against Logan Gilbert this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Twins are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Twins are just 13-102 (.113) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are just 26-28 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mariners are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .583 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Twins hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,660 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Twins hitters are slugging .425 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters have drawn 72 walks in 632 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed 513 barreled balls since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH this season (1,494 balls in play) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
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