The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-160) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.
This season, the Twins are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 0-1 ATS.
Twins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Twins | +135 |
| Nationals | -160 |
Twins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Drew Millas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 away games (+11.39 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.42 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 98.04% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.18 Units / -100% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Sands has limited playing time.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams had a strike rate of just 51% (254/498) on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 34% (168/498) against Trevor Williams on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Hitters swung at 35% of Trevor Williams’ breaking pitches (232/660) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (335/660) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are just 29-44 (.397) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Nationals are just 39-64 (.379) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 21-36 (.368) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 45-79 (.363) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 120-170 (.414) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Lower Leg, Out
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, Out
- Joey Meneses (Washington Nationals): Knee, Out
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Dominic Smith (Washington Nationals): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
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