- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Twins are 74-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 68-68 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5-3, 3.87 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-8, 3.91 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+24.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+14.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.90 Units / 211% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 116 games (+5.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 82 of their last 133 games (+27.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 127 games (+14.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-72 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -6.25% ROI).
- 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 69-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.45% ROI
- 61-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -10.23% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 68-68 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -3.56% ROI).
- 67-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -6.79% ROI
- 62-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -9.39% ROI
- 70-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.5% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .413 (19 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (35/184) against Simeon Woods Richardson on changeups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of just .598 (206 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .721 — 91st Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (57 Total Bases / 183 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 94th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Zack Littell’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (42/146) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 47% of the time (180/382) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 99th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 46% of the time (646/1,417) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 26-97 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 132-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are just 26-35 (.426) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 60-24 (.714) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 122-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 34-61 (.358) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Rays are 59-4 (.937) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 112-11 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins have scored 1.78 runs per game (530/298) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,583 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,635 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
The Twins are batting .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .269 (1,208 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Twins pitchers have walked 171 of 2,666 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,263 of 17,122 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 824 of 11,112 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
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