- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Twins are 75-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-68 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-4, 4.89 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs 1-2, 3.72 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -250 | O 7 +100 | +100 |
| Rays | -1.5 +175 | U 7 -120 | -120 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 27 games (+23.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.90 Units / 211% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 117 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 82 of their last 134 games (+26.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 128 games (+13.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 64 games (+2.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-73 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 75-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -1.39% ROI
- 70-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.11% ROI
- 61-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.4 Units / -10.92% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-68 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -2.99% ROI).
- 67-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -7.38% ROI
- 63-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -8.66% ROI
- 70-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 0.73% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs (TB) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (53/72) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a David Festa breaking pitch was August 17th. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Aaron Ashby has the longest active streak at 21.
David Festa has thrown his slider 47% of the time (41/88) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .125 (2-for-16) against David Festa in his last start — 6th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 90th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to August 17th — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Jeffrey Springs has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 79.2.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 133-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 20-15 (.571) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Twins are 201-5 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 26-97 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 122-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 19-12 (.613) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Rays are 59-4 (.937) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are just 25-50 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .755 (8,548 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,594 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .779 (5,606 PA’s) at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .668 (2,634 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 828 of 11,152 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
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