- The Twins (51-44) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (38-57)
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (4-3), 3.71 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Rony García (3-2), 4.28 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 51-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-51 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 +100 | -175 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -120 | +145 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Rony Garcia | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 93 games (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 83 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+18.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 43-52 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.49% ROI).
- 51-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.97% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.27% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -4.26% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 44-51 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -12.42% ROI).
- 38-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -9.64% ROI
- 35-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.7 Units / -23.69% ROI
- 55-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 16.14% ROI
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (92 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (338/645) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Sonny Gray has walked 22 of 153 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (483/939) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Rony García: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rony Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .095 (21 PA’s) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.0 MPH this season (130 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 88.8
Rony Garcia has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (85/153) of opposing batters this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (12/95) against Rony Garcia when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 43-6 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Twins are 45-13 (.776) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 16-32 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Tigers are just 4-41 (.089) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 4-27 (.129) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have not struck out in 13 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters are slugging .547 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Twins are batting .257 on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,529 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .452 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,529 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Tigers pitchers this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, Day-to-Day
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