Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (51-44) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (38-57)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (4-3), 3.71 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Rony García (3-2), 4.28 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 51-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-51 ATS.

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 -105O 8.5 +100-175
Tigers +1.5 -115U 8.5 -120+145

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Harold Castro 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Javier Baez 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Harold Castro 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Harold Castro 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Rony Garcia 2.5 -150 2.5 +105
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 93 games (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 83 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+18.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 43-52 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.49% ROI).

  • 51-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.97% ROI
  • 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.27% ROI
  • 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -4.26% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 44-51 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -12.42% ROI).

  • 38-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -9.64% ROI
  • 35-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.7 Units / -23.69% ROI
  • 55-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 16.14% ROI

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (92 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 80.4

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (338/645) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Sonny Gray has walked 22 of 153 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (483/939) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Rony García: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Rony Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .095 (21 PA’s) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.

Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.0 MPH this season (130 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 88.8

Rony Garcia has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (85/153) of opposing batters this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (12/95) against Rony Garcia when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 43-6 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Twins are 45-13 (.776) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are just 16-32 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Tigers are just 4-41 (.089) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Tigers are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 4-27 (.129) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

Twins hitters have not struck out in 13 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .547 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

The Twins are batting .257 on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,529 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .452 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,529 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Tigers pitchers this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.