White Sox vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 11:58 AM
  • The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger, 4.76 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon, 5.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa.

The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The White Sox vs Cubs Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the White Sox are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-7 ATS.

White Sox vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -185O 10.5 -120+105
Cubs -1.5 +150U 10.5 +100-125

White Sox vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on White Sox vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -8.12% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -2.58% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -33.63% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 24.6% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 13-7 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 24.42% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 14.94% ROI
  • 5-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -49.46% ROI
  • 15-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 40.86% ROI

Opponents batted just .174 (8-for-46) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .272 (56-for-206) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 95th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger had a strike rate of just 57% (241/420) on sliders last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Mike Clevinger allowed a BABIP of .220 vs left-handed batters last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .279 — 96th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .412 (33-for-80) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — eighth Percentile.

Jameson Taillon walked 32 of 728 batters (4%) last season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.

Jameson Taillon allowed a slugging percentage of .286 (101 Total Bases / 353 ABs) with two-strikes last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 11th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 24 of 748 right-handed batters (3%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Cubs are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

White Sox hitters hit 95 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 29%) when the pitcher was behind in the count last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox batted .271 against LHP last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,917 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The White Sox are batting .266 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cubs hitters have 3,044 strikeouts in 12,044 PA’s (25%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs hitters are slugging .619 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) last season (; League Avg: 117.3).

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.