White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 10:55 AM
  • The White Sox (42-45) are -115 favorites vs the Guardians (43-43)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (5-5), 5.04 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale (2-5), 6.28 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Chicago White Sox (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 42-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 44-42 ATS.

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox-1.5 +140O 7.5 +100-115
Guardians +1.5 -165U 7.5 -120-105

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.20 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Runs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Leury Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Amed Rosario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Andres Gimenez 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Austin Hedges 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Franmil Reyes 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Jose Ramirez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

    Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Amed Rosario 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
    Andres Gimenez 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Austin Hedges 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
    Franmil Reyes 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Jose Ramirez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

    Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Amed Rosario 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Andres Gimenez 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
    Austin Hedges 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
    Franmil Reyes 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
    Jose Ramirez 0.5 +135 0.5 -200

    Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aaron Civale 3.5 -175 3.5 +125
    Lucas Giolito 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 away games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 42 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 55 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 67 games (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 40-47 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -7.94% ROI).

    • 42-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -10.59% ROI
    • 41-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -4.15% ROI
    • 42-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.74% ROI

    Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 44-42 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.88% ROI).

    • 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.59% ROI
    • 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -6.67% ROI
    • 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.8% ROI

    Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (111 Total Bases / 185 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 0 Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .981 (210 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has struck out 37% (53/142) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (98/263) against Lucas Giolito this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

    Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .683 (71 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 0 Percentile.

    Aaron Civale has located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (261/510) of the time since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fourth Percentile.

    Aaron Civale has an ERA of 6.11 (53.0 IP)this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 3.81 — fifth Percentile.

    Aaron Civale has walked 10 of 64 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

    White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

    The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The White Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

    The White Sox are just 19-25 (.432) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

    The White Sox are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

    The Guardians are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Guardians are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .888.

    The Guardians are just 14-40 (.259) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

    The Guardians are 29-3 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

    White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (247 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

    White Sox hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 174 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

    White Sox hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 323 total hits (just 23%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

    White Sox hitters have an OPS of .802 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .608 (895 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    Guardians hitters are slugging just .319 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

    Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Guardians hitters are slugging just .518 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    White Sox pitchers have walked 320 of 3,352 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Guardians have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Guardians pitchers this month (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

    Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.