- The White Sox (42-45) are -115 favorites vs the Guardians (43-43)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (5-5), 5.04 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale (2-5), 6.28 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Chicago White Sox (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 42-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 44-42 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 +100 | -115 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -120 | -105 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +125 |
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 40-47 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -7.94% ROI).
- 42-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -10.59% ROI
- 41-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 42-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.74% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 44-42 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.88% ROI).
- 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.8% ROI
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (111 Total Bases / 185 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 0 Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .981 (210 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has struck out 37% (53/142) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (98/263) against Lucas Giolito this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .683 (71 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 0 Percentile.
Aaron Civale has located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (261/510) of the time since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fourth Percentile.
Aaron Civale has an ERA of 6.11 (53.0 IP)this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 3.81 — fifth Percentile.
Aaron Civale has walked 10 of 64 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The White Sox are just 19-25 (.432) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The White Sox are 11-3 (.786) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Guardians are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Guardians are just 14-40 (.259) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Guardians are 29-3 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .429 (247 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 174 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 323 total hits (just 23%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of .802 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .608 (895 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .319 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .518 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 320 of 3,352 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Guardians pitchers this month (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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