White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa walks to the dugout after an at-bat in Game 2 of an American League Division Series baseball game against the Houston Astros in Houston, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023.
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Twins are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Twins TV Channel: NSCH | BSNX

The Chicago White Sox (+225) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the White Sox are 3-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 8-13 ATS.

White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 1-0, 3.10 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-2, 4.03 ERA

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +110O 7 +100+225
Twins -1.5 -135U 7 -120-275

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 71.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 8-14 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -33.08% ROI).

  • 3-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -63.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -28.14% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 17.65% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-13 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -27.59% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -25.34% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -22.55% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 14.95% ROI

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Alex Kirilloff (MIN) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (316/1,451) against Erick Fedde since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 45% (59/131) when ahead in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 38% (68/180) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 59% (406/690) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 50% (19/38) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (92/233) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (192/500) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 54-8 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox are just 47-17 (.734) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 8-23 (.258) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The White Sox are just 19-45 (.297) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 19-60 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Twins are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 77-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .247 (158 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The White Sox are batting just .136 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .620 (132 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.056.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .549 (769 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Twins are batting just .146 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .233 (90 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Twins are batting just .171 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

The Twins are batting just .113 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.

White Sox pitchers have walked 746 of 7,138 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 92 of 837 batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.