- The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Yankees vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Diamondbacks TV Channel: YES | DBTV
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Yankees are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-2 ATS.
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-0, 7.21 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 away games (+14.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.60 Units / 78% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-0 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 65.84% ROI).
- 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 104.81% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -80.7% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 75.47% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 8.55% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.75% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gurriel Jr. | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Moreno | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Carroll | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Moreno | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Walker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Suarez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Gurriel Jr. | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gurriel Jr. | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Moreno | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carroll | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cortes | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Gallen | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .146 (33-for-226) against Nestor Cortes versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .221 (132-for-596) against Nestor Cortes on pitches in the strike zone since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .281 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (69-for-399) against Nestor Cortes’ fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (15-for-95) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen threw breaking pitches down 83% of the time (633/764) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (154/574) versus Zac Gallen in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Zac Gallen allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.4 MPH (553 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.1 — fourth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has located his breaking pitches down 82% of the time (1,167/1,423) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 111-28 (.799) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are just 15-28 (.349) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 113-25 (.819) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Diamondbacks are just 137-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 121-21 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Yankees hitters are slugging .442 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Yankees batted just .224 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,104 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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