- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Padres
- Yankees vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Padres TV Channel: YES | PDTV
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Yankees are 35-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 28-25 ATS.
Yankees vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 5-2, 2.93 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 4-1, 2.08 ERA
Yankees vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -115 | -115 |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -105 | -105 |
Yankees vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+23.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+21.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+13.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.99 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 29-23 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 15.52% ROI).
- 35-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 14.16% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -15.18% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 6.71% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 28-25 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 7.99% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 3.2% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -12.06% ROI
Padres vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (93 SO in 264 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 10% (3/30) against Carlos Rodon on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (20/59) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (41/136) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (20 Total Bases / 80 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 98th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .239 (184 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (30-for-168) against Yu Darvish this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (4-for-35) against Yu Darvish with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Yankees are 23-18 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 70-19 (.787) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Yankees are 54-52 (.509) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 60-8 (.882) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Padres are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Padres are just 8-142 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Padres are just 4-151 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are just 19-34 (.358) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,466 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging .730 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .303 on the road this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Padres hitters have just 1,224 strikeouts in 5,939 PA’s (21%) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 281 strikeouts in 1,458 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (5,150 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
