Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (71-42) are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox (56-58)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (4-9), 3.59 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (3-4), 4.29 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New York Yankees (-155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+125) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 71-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 57-57 ATS.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +100O 9 -110-155
Red Sox +1.5 -120U 9 -110+125

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 away games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+10.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jarren Duran 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jarren Duran 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jarren Duran 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kutter Crawford 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 103 games (+6.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 85 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 94 games (+4.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 85 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 80 games (+2.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-61 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -8.21% ROI).

  • 71-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 1.37% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.96% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.95% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 57-57 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.25% ROI).

  • 56-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -6.02% ROI
  • 51-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -6.13% ROI
  • 54-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.23% ROI

Frankie Montas has thrown fastballs 54% of the time (1,319/2,438) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 22% (125/579) against Frankie Montas since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

78% of Frankie Montas’ non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 94th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 32% (401/1,255) against Frankie Montas since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (53/164) against Kutter Crawford this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/24) against Kutter Crawford against right-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Kutter Crawford — tied for 11th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time (601/969) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Yankees are 12-9 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 24-4 (.857) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Red Sox are just 6-24 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Red Sox are just 5-8 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 3-43 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees have scored 192 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have scored 1.82 runs per game (206/113) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .759 (3,230 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

The Red Sox are batting .273 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .181 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Red Sox hitters have grounded into 10 double plays in 36 opportunities (28%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,182 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Red Sox have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (2,912 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
  • Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
  • Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Groin, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Robert Refsnyder (Red Sox): Knee, D10
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.