- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: FOX
The New York Yankees (-165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+140) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Yankees are 50-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 32-38 ATS.
Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-2, 2.69 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 3-3, 4.16 ERA
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | -165 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | +140 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+20.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 36 games (+18.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+17.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.60 Units / 312% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 38 games (+24.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 38 games (+24.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+22.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 49 games (+19.79 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 72 games (+19.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 70 games (+4.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-28 against the Run Line (+21.1 Units / 24.44% ROI).
- 50-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 18.21% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.14% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 32-38 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -12.87% ROI).
- 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.57% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -11.63% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 4.47% ROI
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .615 (16-for-26) against Carlos Rodon in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (62/191) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has walked 5 of 126 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (3/21) against Cooper Criswell on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has a strike rate of just 54% (191/352) when ahead in the count this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (151/262) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (48/66) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 18-7 (.720) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Yankees are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .060.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Red Sox are just 26-37 (.413) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Red Sox are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Red Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,057 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,004 of their 8,710 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .742 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .556.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 207 strikeouts in 717 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .251 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Red Sox are batting .270 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 183 of 2,601 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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