Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 26, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors (44-38) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Kings (48-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 26, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Golden State Warriors visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Kings Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 40-45 against the spread, while the Kings are 48-38 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-1.5 -110O 234.5 -115-125
Sacramento Kings +1.5 -110U 234.5 -115+105

Kings vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

Kings vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 away games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.12 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.21 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.47 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 40-45 (-9.5 Units / -10.04% ROI).

  • 46-40 against the Moneyline (-24.45 Units / -10.86% ROI)
  • 46-38 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 4.44% ROI)
  • 38-46 against the Under for game total points (-12.6 Units / -13.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 48-38 (+6.2 Units / 6.55% ROI).

  • 50-36 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -5.65% ROI)
  • 42-43 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -5.6% ROI)
  • 43-42 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -3.38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-26.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games at home (-22.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-21.67 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.44 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 away games (-33.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-26.62 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 33 games (-26.50 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-26.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 away games (-25.47 Units / -37% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Kings are 4-38 (.095) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227

The Kings are 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Kings are 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Kings are 46-18 (.719) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

Injury Report: Kings vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 26

  • De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr 26) game against Golden State.
  • Matthew Dellavedova (Kings): Dellavedova underwent surgery and is without a timetable to return.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings have averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings have averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings have averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (1,002 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,705 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (644 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.