- The Cardinals’ 2024 win total is set at 6.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Three of Arizona’s four 2023 wins came after Kyler Murray returned from injury.
- The Cardinals last cleared this win total in the 2021 season.
For the 2024 NFL season, the Cardinals win total sits at 6.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Arizona has not cleared this total since 2021. In the last two seasons, Arizona combined for only eight wins.
The good news for Arizona: there’s ample room for positive regression. Last season, they finished 2-5 in games decided by seven or fewer points and went 0-6 in the division.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Arizona’s 2024 win total.
Cardinals Win Total Odds
The Cardinals’ season win total is set at 6.5 games.
The odds for Arizona to win at least seven games is -160, an implied probability of 61.5%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with six or fewer wins is +135, an implied probability of 42.6%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC West teams:
- San Francisco 49ers: 11.5 Wins
- Los Angeles Rams: 8.5 Wins
- Seattle Seahawks:7.5 Wins
- Arizona Cardinals: 6.5 Wins
Cardinals Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN Over 6.5 Wins (-160)
There’s a clear case to be made for Arizona improving. However, I’m not willing to pay this price to find out.
With Kyler Murray under center, Arizona finished 3-5 in their final eight games. Without Murray, they went 1-8.
As referenced earlier, Arizona finished 0-6 in divisional games last season, half of which came without Murray. There’s only room to grow in that department.
While their offense should flourish behind Murray, rookie receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. and running back tandem James Conner and DeeJay Dallas, I worry about the defense.
Last year, the Cardinals ranked 31st in EPA per play allowed. The previous season, they ranked 20th in that category.
Some of that record can be explained by the fact Arizona lost the third-most adjusted man games on the defensive side last year.
Even if they stay fully healthy, their offense will need to do a lot to overcome a unit that should surrender loads of points.
Slightly encouraging is that from Week 10 onward, Arizona ranked ninth in EPA per play, according to rbsdm.com.
Pair that with the fact Arizona finished 1.4 wins under expected, per pro-football-reference.com, and it would be the over or nothing for me.
However, to pay this amount of juice, I need a scenario in which Arizona gets eight or nine wins. I’m not sure that will happen.
Cardinals Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 6.5 | -160 | +135 |
| Week 2 | 6.5 | -115 | -105 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | -140 | +115 |
| Week 4 | 7.5 | -110 | -110 |
Most Wins in Cardinals History
The Cardinals’ franchise record for most wins in a single regular season is 13, which happened in 2015.
Fewest Wins in Cardinals History
The Cardinals’ fewest wins in franchise history is zero. It has happened twice, in 1943 as the Racine/Chicago Cardinals and in 1944 when they were Card-Pitt.
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