- The Cardinals’ 2025 win total is set at 8.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Arizona cleared its win total in 2024 for the first time since 2021.
- Based on continued defensive improvement, I predict the Cardinals clear 8.5 wins.
For the 2025 NFL season, the Cardinals win total sits at 8.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Jonathan Gannon’s second season saw improvement by Arizona. The Cardinals doubled their previous season’s total, capturing eight wins in 2024.
Ultimately, Arizona fell short of the postseason thanks to five losses in its final seven games.
Here’s a look at the NFL odds for Arizona’s 2025 win total and my Cardinals win total prediction.
Cardinals Win Total Odds
The Cardinals’ season win total is set at 8.5 games.
The odds for Arizona to win at least nine games is +100, an implied probability of 50%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with eight or fewer wins is -120, an implied probability of 54.5%.
Here are the 2025 NFL win totals for all NFC West teams:
- San Francisco 49ers: 10.5 Wins
- Los Angeles Rams: 9.5 Wins
- Arizona Cardinals: 8.5 Wins
- Seattle Seahawks: 7.5 Wins
Cardinals Win Total Prediction 2025
Arizona Cardinals Over 8.5 Wins (+100)
Based on Arizona’s defensive improvement last season and their expected positive regression in 2025, I predict the Cardinals finish Over 8.5 Wins (+100).
Arizona took a major leap in Gannon’s second season thanks to a brilliant defensive record.
While the offense also improved – more on that later – the biggest change came defensively. The Cardinals moved from 32nd in defensive DVOA in 2023 to 14th in 2024, per ftnfantasy.com.
Two factors render that achievement even more impressive.
Arizona played the third-hardest schedule of opposing offenses in 2024 after playing the hardest schedule in 2023.
Additionally, the Cardinals completed that move despite losing 72.9 adjusted games to injury on defense, the fourth-highest total in the league.
In 2025, the Cardinals defense receives a reprieve in terms of opponent strength.
Based on 2024 offensive DVOA ratings, Arizona goes from the third-hardest set of offenses to the 17th-hardest.
Outside the division, Arizona goes from playing the AFC East and NFC North to facing the AFC and NFC South.
While the division remains one of the toughest in football, I’m confident in Arizona’s ability to keep up based on their offensive record.
The Cardinals jumped from 21st to 11th in offensive DVOA year over year after placing 27th in 2022.
Arizona likely needs to retain that record in a division that includes two other top-10 offenses by DVOA.
Lastly, Arizona enters the 2025 season a positive regression candidate.
Gannon’s side finished 8-9 on a 9-8 expected record thanks to a 3-5 record in games decided by a touchdown or less.
Given the Cardinals are tied for the league’s ninth-easiest schedule based on opponent win totals, I’ll back the positive regression and further improvement by Arizona.
Most Wins in Cardinals History
The Cardinals’ franchise record for most wins in a single regular season is 13, which happened in 2015.
Fewest Wins in Cardinals History
The Cardinals’ fewest wins in franchise history is zero. It has happened twice, in 1943 as the Racine/Chicago Cardinals and in 1944 when they were Card-Pitt.
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