Best NFL Same Game Parlay Today: Week 6 SGP Picks

Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love warms up before an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • My Same Game Parlay prediction for Packers vs. Cardinals.
  • I predict thereโ€™s an alternate SGP prediction for Broncos vs. Chargers.
  • Use BetMGM's SGP+ feature for higher payout opportunities!

All bettors love turning a little into a lot, and Same Game Parlays allow you to do just that.ย 

For those unfamiliar, a Same Game Parlay (SGP) allows bettors to combine otherwise correlative outcomes into a single bet. If both legs hit, the parlay pays out.ย 

However, if just one leg loses, the entire bet is a loser.ย 

With NFL Week 6 nearing, Iโ€™ve examined the NFL odds and constructed two Same Game Parlay bets worth a shot for bettors.ย 

NFL Same Game Parlay Prediction: Packers vs. Cardinals

My Same Game Parlay prediction for Packers vs. Cardinals is Packers Moneyline & First Quarter Over 9.5 Points (+135).ย 

Arizona captured a shock upset win in San Francisco last week. History suggests theyโ€™re unlikely to repeat that feat in Green Bay.ย 

Since 2003, underdogs at +5 or higher off a win at +5 or higher are 23-138-1 SU in the next game.ย 

When that win came by eight or fewer points, those underdogs fall to 11-95-1 (10.4%).ย 

The good news with Arizona? It excels offensively in the first quarter.ย 

The Cardinals are second in first quarter points per game through five weeks and lead the league in first quarter EPA per play.ย 

Green Bay is an interesting case study early. The Packers rank ninth in EPA per play for the first 15 minutes compared to 30th in first quarter success rate.ย 

At the same time, Arizonaโ€™s defense has struggled early.ย 

The Cardinals rank 27th in first quarter EPA per play and 31st in first quarter success rate.ย 

Pair those with their offensive trends, and itโ€™s unsurprising four of five first quarters have cleared the total.ย 

Add in Green Bay is 3-2 to the over in the first quarter and Iโ€™ll pair this leg with the Packers moneyline.ย 

NFL Same Game Parlay Prediction: Broncos vs. Chargers

Based on outstanding defensive play by both defenses and Denverโ€™s strength at home, my SGP prediction for Broncos vs. Chargers is the Broncos Spread (+7.5) & Under 40 Points (+105).ย 

Given that I backed under 35.5 points (-110) in my NFL Week 6 picks, I take no issue backing under 40 points here. Essentially, youโ€™re asking one of these teams not to score 20 points.ย 

In these teamsโ€™ nine combined games this season, at least one team has stayed under 20 points in eight of nine.ย 

These teams also possess brilliant defenses. Per PFF, the Broncos are fourth in total defense while the Chargers rank eighth.ย 

If this game proves as low-scoring as predicted, itโ€™s difficult to see the Chargers blowing out Denver.ย 

The Broncos have stayed within this number in all five games this season. That makes this a solid sell-high spot vs. the Chargers, who have two wins by double digits this season.ย 

Add in the lingering injury issues to the Chargers offense and Iโ€™ll add the Broncos to stay within a touchdown as the second leg of this parlay.ย 

BetMGM Same-Game Parlay+ (SGP+)ย 

This season at BetMGM, users can take advantage of a new Same Game Parlay feature – the SGP+.ย 

This allows users to combine multiple Same Game Parlay bets into a single wager to further increase the payout.ย 

Using the above two same game parlays as an example, bettorsโ€™ odds would increase to +381 ($100 bet wins $381).

However, all four legs need to hit for the SGP+ to pay out. Check out more information on BetMGMโ€™s SGP+ feature.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.