- The Buffalo Bills are -650 to make the postseason in 2025-26.
- Buffalo has won the AFC East five years in a row.
- I predict the Bills’ easy schedule leads them to the AFC top seed.
Based on NFL odds and Bills playoff odds, the Buffalo Bills are predicted to make the postseason this year.
Buffalo eased to a fifth straight AFC East title in 2024, but fell in the AFC Championship to the Chiefs. Now, Buffalo is -650 to make the playoffs.
Conversely, Buffalo is +475 to miss the playoffs.
Prediction: Will the Buffalo Bills Make the Playoffs?
Based on Buffalo’s easy schedule and the fact that all their difficult games come at home, I predict the Bills earn the AFC Number One Seed (+375).
The schedule breaks down quite favorably for Buffalo, despite finishing as a division winner last season.
Based on opponent win totals, the Bills face the league’s fifth-easiest schedule in 2025. Only five of Buffalo’s 17 games come against teams with win totals set at 9.5 or higher.
Even more beneficial for Buffalo: All five of those contests come at home, with three carrying the possibility of inclement weather.
As it stands, Buffalo is the second choice to claim the top seed, but the realistic challengers face much more difficult schedules.
Both the Ravens (+350) and Chiefs (+425) play in harder divisions with more difficult schedules.
Outside the division, Baltimore faces the AFC East and NFC North, while Kansas City faces the NFC East and AFC South. The Bills face the AFC North and NFC South.
Of those two opponents, I worry more about the Chiefs. However, they enter this season as a major negative regression candidate after going 10-0 in touchdown games last season.
If Buffalo picks up wins over the Chiefs and Ravens at home, it paves the way for them to earn the AFC’s top seed.
Pair those trends with Buffalo’s likely defensive improvement – they face the seventh-easiest set of offenses based on 2024 DVOA ratings – and I’ll take Buffalo to claim the top seed.
Buffalo Bills Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -650 | 86.7% |
When Was the Last Time the Buffalo Bills Won the Super Bowl?
The Bills are one of 12 NFL Teams to Have Never Won the Super Bowl.
However, the Bills made four consecutive Super Bowl appearances during the ‘90s, but fell in all four.
Buffalo Bills Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +750 | 11.8% |
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