Panthers Over Under Wins, 2025 NFL Win Totals

For the 2025 NFL season, the Panthers win total sits at 6.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Dave Canales’s debut campaign produced an improved season. After winning only two games in 2023, the Panthers improved to five wins in 2025. 

Driving that improvement was an improvement by Bryce Young. After Canales benched Young early in the season, the former first overall pick led Carolina to four wins in the last nine games. 

Here’s a look at the NFL odds for Carolina’s 2025 win total and my Panthers win total prediction. 

Panthers Win Total Odds

The Panthers’ season win total is set at 6.5 games, up from 5.5 wins for the 2024 season. 

Oddsmakers rate Carolina’s outcome in 2025 as a coin flip. Both over 6.5 wins and under 6.5 wins are priced at -110 for an implied probability of 52.4%. 

Here are the 2025 NFL win totals for all NFC South teams:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9.5 Wins
• Atlanta Falcons: 7.5 Wins
• Carolina Panthers: 6.5 Wins
• New Orleans Saints: 5.5 Wins

Panthers Win Total Prediction 2025

Carolina Panthers Under 6.5 Wins (-110)

Based on the public perception of Carolina and their difficult defensive schedule, I predict the Panthers finish Under 6.5 Wins (-110). 

BET: Panthers Over 6.5 Wins @ -120

BET: Panthers Under 6.5 Wins @ +100  

There’s no denying Young took a step forward in 2024. But it’s worth examining where that improvement came from for Young.  

From Week 9 onward, Young ranked 10th in EPA per play and 11th in adjusted EPA per play. He also ranked second to Justin Herbert in average air yards. 

However, Young simultaneously ranked 17th of 20th in completion percentage and 20th in expected completion percentage, per rbsdm.com. 

Even if you look at Young’s last three games, he demonstrates similar metrics. 

Of 14 QBs who completed 150 or more plays, Young ranked seventh in EPA per play but 14th in completion percentage. 

Irrespective of Young’s performance, the Panthers played a lot of close games over the latter half of the season. 

Seven of Carolina’s final nine games were decided by seven or fewer points. 

While Carolina lost three games by six or fewer points, the four wins over that span came by one, three, six and six points. Three of those four came in overtime. 

Even if one expects the Panthers offense to take a step forward in 2025, the defensive schedule presents a big worry. 

Carolina finished 32nd in defensive DVOA last season against the 12th-hardest set of opposing offenses, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Next season, the Panthers face the league’s ninth-hardest schedule of opposing offenses based on opponents’ 2024 offensive DVOA ratings. 

Defensive injury issues can explain some of last season’s ratings, but the Panthers have been perpetually injured recently. 

Last season, the Panthers lost the third-most adjusted games to injury in total. Defensively, they lost the fifth-most adjusted games. 

In 2023, the Panthers also lost the third-most adjusted games to injury, with the second-most adjusted games lost to injury on defense. 

That could easily reverse itself in 2025, but I remain skeptical of backing a team’s future given the past injury concerns. 

Schedule-wise, Carolina faces a pretty difficult schedule outside the division. 

All but one of Carolina’s 11 games come against a team with a win total set at 7.5 or higher. They also face a bonus road game next season. 

As a result, I’d be more inclined to back the under on Carolina’s win total. 

Most Wins in Panthers History

The Panthers’ record for most wins in a single season is 15 from 2015. That season ended in the Super Bowl with a loss to the Denver Broncos.

They’re one of 12 NFL teams that have never won a Super Bowl.

Fewest Wins in Panthers History

The Panthers’ season with the fewest wins was in 2001 when they won just one game. The Panthers have finished with four or fewer wins in a season just three times.