- The Panthers’ 2024 win total is set at 5.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Following a two-win season, Carolina hired Dave Canales as new head coach.
- Has the Panthers’ win total moved too much this offseason?
For the 2024 NFL season, the Panthers win total sits at 5.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Last season proved a dismal campaign for the Panthers. Behind rookie quarterback Bryce Young, Carolina finished with only two wins, both on last-gasp field goals.
Unsurprisingly, poor results doomed head coach Frank Reich, who received his marching orders mid-season.
This year, former Bucs offensive coordinator Dave Canales arrives to take the top job.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Carolina’s 2024 win total.
Panthers Win Total Odds
The Panthers’ season win total is set at 5.5 games, up from 4.5 wins at market open.
Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Carolina is -125 to win six or more games, an implied probability of 55.6%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with five or fewer wins is +105, an implied probability of 48.8%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC South teams:
- Atlanta Falcons: 9.5 Wins
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7.5 Wins
- New Orleans Saints: 7.5 Wins
- Carolina Panthers: 5.5 Wins
Panthers Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN Panthers Over 5.5 Wins (-115)
I’m inclined to agree with the line movement on Carolina, but a four-win improvement for a team loads of roster turnover feels steep.
Both linebacker Brian Burns and safety Vonn Bell departed this offseason. Jadeveon Clowney and Jordan Fuller serve as replacements, but I rate both as downgrades.
In good news for Carolina, they’ve made solid moves on offense.
Robert Hunt and Damien Lewis arrive via free agency, while Diontae Johnson enters from Pittsburgh to provide a new receiving threat for Young.
The other good news for Carolina? They ran unlucky based on some underlying metrics last season.
Carolina played more like a 3.5-win team according to their expected win-loss record, per pro-football-reference.com.
Contributing to that discrepancy is the fact Carolina finished 2-5 in games decided by seven or fewer points, including 2-4 in games decided by three or fewer points.
Additionally, they finished a dismal 1-5 in division contests. Expect some improvement in that category in what’s widely considered the worst division in the NFL.
Given their last-place schedule, the Panthers enter 2024 with the 10th-easiest schedule based on opponent win totals.
Add in Carolina has received 82% of all dollars to clear their win total at BetMGM, and I would take the over or stay away.
Panthers Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 5.5 | -125 | +105 |
| Week 2 | 5.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Week 3 | 3.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Week 4 | 4.5 | -130 | +105 |
Most Wins in Panthers History
The Panthers’ record for most wins in a single season is 15 from 2015. That season ended in the Super Bowl with a loss to the Denver Broncos.
They’re one of 12 NFL teams that have never won a Super Bowl.
Fewest Wins in Panthers History
The Panthers’ season with the fewest wins was in 2001 when they won just one game. The Panthers have finished with four or fewer wins in a season just three times.
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