Cowboys vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:38 AM
  • The Giants (2-0) are -1 point favorites vs the Cowboys (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Dallas Cowboys (1-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-0) on Sep. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in East Rutherford.

The Giants are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Cowboys vs. Giants Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dallas Cowboys+1 -11039 -110-105
New York Giants -1 -11039 -110-115

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 3 game with 62.3% confidence.

Cowboys vs Giants Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 3 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dalton Schultz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • James Washington has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kadarius Toney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Cowboys

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Saquon Barkley +600
    Ezekiel Elliott +750
    CeeDee Lamb +900
    Tony Pollard +1200
    Sterling Shepard +1200

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Cowboys

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Saquon Barkley -120
    Ezekiel Elliott +120
    CeeDee Lamb +145
    Sterling Shepard +210
    Daniel Jones +240

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

    Player Name Over Under
    Saquon Barkley 23.5 -115 23.5 -115
    CeeDee Lamb 51.5 -115 51.5 -115
    Ezekiel Elliott 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
    Tony Pollard 18.5 -110 18.5 -115
    Noah Brown 37.5 -110 37.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Cowboys

    Player Name Over Under
    Ezekiel Elliott 58.5 -115 58.5 -110
    Tony Pollard 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
    Cooper Rush 2.5 -115 2.5 -110
    Daniel Jones 26.5 -115 26.5 -110
    Saquon Barkley 77.5 -115 77.5 -115
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).

    • Cowboys are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 85% ROI
    • Cowboys are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Cowboys are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

    Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • Giants are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 146.34% ROI
    • Giants are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
    • Giants are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI

    Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

    The Cowboys were 1-2 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

    The Cowboys are 11-3 (.786) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Giants have turned the ball over 34 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Cowboys were 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.

    The Cowboys were undefeated (11-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

    New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

    The Giants were winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.

    The Giants were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

    The Giants were winless (0-8-1) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

    The Giants were winless (0-8) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

    The Giants have run successful plays on just 37.9% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed successful plays on just 41.0% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

    The Giants have been successful on just 36.6% of plays they have run since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.6% of plays since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Giants have run successful plays on just 33.1% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed successful plays on just 41.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

    The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of just 24.0% this season — tied for worst in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 21.7% this season — best in NFL.

    The Cowboys have run successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Giants have allowed successful plays on just 37.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

    The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of just 13.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2020 season — second-worst in NFL. The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 7.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2020 season — best in NFL.

    Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Cowboys have not converted a first down on 3 plays (0%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

    The Cowboys have not recorded a TD in 10 drives in the 2nd half this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

    The Cowboys ran successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

    The Cowboys have run 3% of their plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

    New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Giants have run successful plays on 18% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Cowboys defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) in the red zone this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

    The Cowboys defense has allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the red zone this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

    The Cowboys defense allowed 6.0 yards after the catch (1,207 RAC / 200 receptions) to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

    New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Giants defense has allowed first downs on 18% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Giants defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 31 of 483 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) last season. — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    The Giants defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.