- The Rams’ 2024 preseason win total is set at 8.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Under Sean McVay, the Rams have produced only one losing season.
- Will Los Angeles’ powerful offense mitigate a weak defense?
For the 2024 NFL season, the Rams win total sits at 8.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Following a disastrous 5-12 performance in 2022, the Rams bounced back in 2023. By winning seven of their final eight games, the Rams earned a spot in the postseason.
The offseason saw Aaron Donald announce his retirement, which leaves a big hole in their defense. However, all skill players from a top-10 scoring offense return in 2024.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Los Angeles’ 2024 win total.
Rams Win Total Odds
The Rams’ season win total is set at 8.5 games.
Under head coach Sean McVay, the Rams have produced only one losing season (2022). As a result, it shouldn’t come as a surprise over 8.5 wins is -155, an implied probability of 60.8%.
Comparatively, under 8.5 wins is priced at +130 for an implied probability of 43.5%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC West teams:
- San Francisco 49ers: 11.5 Wins
- Los Angeles Rams: 8.5 Wins
- Seattle Seahawks: 7.5 Wins
- Arizona Cardinals: 6.5 Wins
Rams Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN Rams Under 8.5 Wins (+110)
Fading a low number on a top-five coach in the league feels dangerous, hence why this qualifies as a lean.
The bad news for Rams backers? There are more reasons than not to bet under 8.5 wins.
Last season, Los Angeles played only eight games against eventual playoff teams. Their record in those contests: 2-6.
Comparatively, they finished 8-1 SU against teams that failed to reach the playoffs. Additionally, they ran fairly lucky based on their expected record.
According to pro-football-reference.com, Los Angeles finished a 10-7 team that played more like a 9-8 team.
Although a 4-4 record in games decided by seven or fewer points isn’t enough to sound the alarm, a 3-1 record in games decided by three or fewer is enough.
They’ve also lost defensive coordinator Raheem Morris along with Donald, an all-Pro defensive tackle.
Amongst all Los Angeles defenders who played at least 50% of snaps, only two players not named Donald posted a PFF grade of 67 or higher.
Without Donald, I worry about a defense that finished 20th in defensive EPA per play.
That means for the Rams to have success this season, their offense needs to prop up a bad defense.
That’s certainly doable when you consider LA ranked ninth in offensive EPA per play last season, including fourth from Week 11 onward.
But that’s a lot to ask for a team that I view as either an eight- or nine-win team at best. I won’t be surprised if McVay has another winning season, but there are other bets I prefer.
Rams Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 8.5 | -155 | +130 |
| Week 2 | 8.5 | -130 | +110 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | +110 | -130 |
| Week 4 | 7.5 | -110 | -110 |
Most Wins in Rams History
The Rams’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14. They accomplished that feat in 2001 but lost to the Patriots in the Super Bowl.
Fewest Wins in Rams History
The Rams’ franchise record for fewest wins in a single season is one, occurring on three occasions (1937, 1962, and 2009) and in three different cities (Cleveland, Los Angeles, and St. Louis).
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