Dolphins Over Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

min read
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill runs for yardage during the first half of an NFL football game against the New England Patriots, Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
(AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 23, 2024, 12:56 PM
  • The Dolphinsโ€™ 2024 preseason win total is set at 9.5 wins at BetMGM.
  • In 2023, Miami won 11 of their first 15, but fell in the wild card round to Kansas City.
  • Will an easy schedule allow Miami to clear their win total?

For the 2024 NFL season, the Dolphins win total sits at 9.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.ย 

In 2023, Miami earned their fourth consecutive winning season and made their second consecutive playoff appearance.ย 

Their near-perfect offense largely remains intact this season, but the defense suffered some notable departures: Christian Wilkins, Andrew van Ginkel, Jerome Baker and Xavien Howard.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the NFL betting lines for Miamiโ€™s 2024 win total.ย 

Dolphins Win Total Odds

The Dolphinsโ€™ season win total is set at 9.5 games.ย 

As it stands, oddsmakers rate the Dolphins more likely to win 10 or more games. Miami over 9.5 wins is currently priced at -135 for an implied probability of 57.4%.ย 

Comparatively, the Dolphins under 9.5 wins is priced at +110 for an implied probability of 47.6%.ย 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all AFC East teams:

Dolphins Win Total Prediction 2024

LEAN Dolphins Over 9.5 Wins (-135)

If you agree with my assumption the Jets improve and the Bills regress, taking Miami over their win total makes sense.ย 

Two pillars for the Dolphins should give them optimism heading into 2024.ย 

First is that their outstanding skill players return on offense. Last year, Miami ranked fourth in offensive EPA per play โ€“ third through the air and fifth on the ground.ย 

My worry is that the interior of their offensive line took a hit. Robert Hunt departed for Carolina, and both centers from 2023 remain on the market.ย 

Miami addressed those departures in the form of Aaron Brewer and Jack Driscoll, but it could be something to monitor if they fail to establish a ground game.ย 

Additionally, Miami receives a fairly easy schedule for the 2024 season. Based on opponent win totals, they have the eighth-easiest schedule in the NFL.ย 

The chief concern with Miami is that their defense experienced loads of roster turnover.ย 

In addition to the four aforementioned players, Miami saw Raekwon Davis, DeShon Elliott and Brandon Jones depart.ย 

The Dolphins front office made a strong effort to address all those departures. However, it could easily be the case Miami regresses defensively.ย 

Even if that happens, Miamiโ€™s offense could prove strong enough to overcome that weakness.ย 

However, that worry is enough to keep me off this win total. Force me to play it, though, and Iโ€™ll back the over.

Dolphins Over Under Wins, Live Odds

Week NumberWin TotalOver OddsUnder Odds
Preseason9.5-135+110
Week 29.5-150+125
Week 38.5-140+115
Week 47.5-125+105

Most Wins in Dolphins History

The Dolphins’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14, which has happened twice. The first time was in 1972 when the Dolphins went 14-0.

In 1984, the Dolphins finished 14-2, eventually losing in the Super Bowl.

Fewest Wins in Dolphins History

The Dolphins’ franchise record for the fewest regular-season wins is one. In 2007, the Dolphins finished 1-15.

NFL Futures Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the premier destination for NFL futuresย throughout the year.

Whether you’re a new bettor browsing win totals in May, a casual fan placing a conference champion bet in August, or a longtime diehard breaking down division winner odds in October, there are options for everyone.

Sign in to your account today โ€” or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus โ€” to start betting. And donโ€™t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.

jamie-foxx-latest-promo-9-24
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.