- The Vikings’ 2024 preseason win total is set at 6.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Minnesota narrowly cleared this number in 2023 after winning 13 games in 2022.
- Will Minnesota’s difficult schedules negate their quality free agency additions?
For the 2024 NFL season, the Vikings win total sits at 6.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
After winning 13 games in 2022 and going 9-0 in one-score games, Minnesota experienced some natural regression last year.
They finished with only seven wins and went 4-8 in games decided by under seven points.
In 2024, they’ll deploy either Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy at quarterback following Kirk Cousins’ departure.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Minnesota’s 2024 win total.
Vikings Win Total Odds
The Vikings’ season win total is set at 6.5 games for the upcoming season.
Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Minnesota is -150 to win seven or more games, an implied probability of 60%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with six or fewer wins is +125, an implied probability of 44.4%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC North teams:
- Detroit Lions: 10.5 Wins
- Green Bay Packers: 9.5 Wins
- Chicago Bears: 8.5 Wins
- Minnesota Vikings: 6.5 Wins
Vikings Win Total Prediction 2024
Vikings Under 5.5 Wins (+195)
By the time Week 8 arrives, there’s a real possibility Minnesota could find itself 0-8.
The market has the Vikings slight favorites in Week 1, but Weeks 2-8 are brutal.
Here’s that schedule: San Francisco, Houston, Green Bay, New York Jets. After a bye week, they play Detroit and the Rams.
The schedule softens slightly from Week 9 onward. However, Minnesota still plays the fifth-hardest schedule based on opponent win totals.
For the entire season, Minnesota is projected to close a favorite only three times.
Oh…and have I mentioned there’s a major quarterback problem following J.J. McCarthy’s season-ending injury?
Sam Darnold should start for Minnesota, and he presents a big drop-off from Kirk Cousins.
Since 2018, 25 quarterbacks have played at least 2,000 snaps. Darnold ranks dead last of that group in EPA per play, success rate and completion percentage.
Over that same timeframe, Cousins ranked 13th, 10th and first in those respective metrics
Someone has to finish last in the NFC North, and I envision the Vikings are in for a long campaign.
Vikings Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 6.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Week 2 | 7.5 | +105 | -125 |
| Week 3 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Week 4 | 10.5 | +100 | -120 |
Most Wins in Vikings History
The Vikings franchise record for wins in a single season is 15. They achieved this in 1998 but fell short of a Super Bowl, losing in the NFC Championship.
The Vikings are among 12 NFL teams that have never won a Super Bowl.
Fewest Wins in Vikings History
The Vikings’ season with the fewest wins in history is two, which happened in 1962 when they finished 2-11.
\Minnesota has only lost three or fewer games five times in franchise history.
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