- The Baltimore Ravens (-135) are favorites to win the AFC North.
- The Baltimore Ravens have won the AFC North in two straight seasons.
- The regression metric suggesting Baltimore’s division streak could end in 2025.
Thanks to a historically strong offensive record, the Baltimore Ravens earned a second straight division title in 2024.
Despite their regular season success, Baltimore’s playoff run ended in the divisional round against the Buffalo Bills.
Year over year, Baltimore moved from +110 to -135 to win the AFC North based on market opening prices.
How does this division shake out in 2025? Here’s a look at the NFL odds for the AFC North division winner and my AFC North prediction.
AFC North Odds, 2025 Division Winner
- Baltimore Ravens: -135
- Cincinnati Bengals: +200
- Pittsburgh Steelers: +600
- Cleveland Browns: +3000
AFC North Prediction
Assuming Pittsburgh signs a viable quarterback option like Aaron Rodgers, I predict the Pittsburgh Steelers Win the AFC North (+600).
This is arguably one of the toughest divisions to handicap, as the chasers all possess glaring problems.
Baltimore avoided a potential pitfall this offseason by re-signing Ronnie Stanley. Additionally, the Ravens further bolstered their offense by signing DeAndre Hopkins.
The only argument against Baltimore is that they finished last season as one of the healthiest teams in a long time.
Baltimore lost only 16.3 adjusted games to injury, the third-lowest number since 2011, per ftnfantasy.com.
History tells bettors that injury regression is bound to occur in Baltimore, which finished a full win under expectation last year.
Two key questions stem from that belief: where are the injuries, and does it matter enough to allow Cincinnati and Pittsburgh to catch the Ravens?
Both chasers possess big problems, particularly on defense.
Last season, the Bengals finished 27th in defensive DVOA against the third-easiest set of offenses.
While Pittsburgh finished eighth in DVOA and ninth in opponent EPA per play, they proved more opportunistic than good.
Exclude plays with turnovers, and bettors will find Pittsburgh goes from 8th/20th in EPA per play and success rate to 18th/22nd, per rbsdm.com.
Why I point to Pittsburgh is simple: the edge they own over Baltimore and Cincinnati is that virtually all their hardest games come at home.
Here is each team’s road schedule outside of the usual divisional contests:
- Pittsburgh: Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers, New England, New York Jets
- Cincinnati: Buffalo, Miami, Denver, Green Bay, Minnesota
- Baltimore: Buffalo, Miami, Green Bay, Minnesota, Kansas City
Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers posted a 101-43-1 record at home compared to an 81-63-1 record on the road.
Another favorable argument in favor of Pittsburgh? The defense struggled so much last year due to the offense’s ineptitude to stay on the field.
Presuming they add a decent quarterback to pair with D.K. Metcalf, it could strengthen the offense to the point it alleviates some defensive pressure.
If that’s the case and the Steelers perform better at home, it’s my belief they own a higher win equity than these odds suggest.
AFC North Standings & Live Odds
| Position | Team | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | -135 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | +200 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +600 |
| 4 | Cleveland Browns | +3000 |
Related Articles
NFL Futures Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the premier destination for NFL futures throughout the year.
Whether you’re a new bettor browsing win totals in May, a casual fan placing a conference champion bet in August, or a longtime diehard breaking down division winner odds in October, there are options for everyone.
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus — to start betting. And don’t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.
