- The Detroit Lions (+120) are favorites to win the NFC North.
- Detroit earned a second straight division title in 2024, despite myriad defensive injuries.
- I predict the Green Bay Packers (+280) will win the NFC North in 2025.
On the heels of their first division title since 1993, the Lions parlayed their success from 2024 with a second division win in 2025.
Despite the second straight division title, Detroit only moved 10 cents from their 2024 opening price based on current odds.
To win a third straight division title, Detroit needs to overcome the departures of Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn. Each agreed to a head coaching job, with Johnson departing for the Bears.
How does this division shake out in 2025? Here’s a look at the NFL odds for the NFC North division winner and my NFC North prediction.
NFC North Odds, 2025 Division Winner
- Detroit Lions: +120
- Green Bay Packers: +280
- Chicago Bears: +425
- Minnesota Vikings: +475
NFC North Prediction
Based on their strength in the trenches and their scheduling advantage over the division, I predict the Green Bay Packers (+280) will win the NFC North.
If Detroit wins a third straight division title in 2025, it will come as an amazing feat.
Not only did the Lions lose both coordinators – ask the Eagles how that worked out after a deep playoff run – but they face a brutal schedule in 2025.
In addition to playing in arguably the toughest division in the league, the Lions’ road schedule features a murderer’s row of opponents.
Here are the Lions’ road opponents in 2025: Chicago, Green Bay, Minnesota, Washington, Philadelphia, Cincinnati, Baltimore, Kansas City and the Rams.
Only one-and-a-half of those games will be played indoors, where Jared Goff has historically performed better.
While there’s an argument that improvement could arrive based on their defensive injuries last year, Detroit simultaneously could see regression offensively.
Part of Detroit’s success last year came because their offense saw little turnover. Per ftnfantasy.com, the Lions lost the second-fewest adjusted games to injury on offense.
Enter Green Bay, which finished on 11 wins last year against 12.7 expected, per ftnfantasy.com.
While optimism exists around the Bears, they also feature a brutal road schedule.
Excluding the divisional opponents, Chicago faces Baltimore, Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Washington, San Francisco and Las Vegas on the road.
Are any of those games true cakewalks? I argue no.
The scheduling quirk with the Packers is that all of their hardest games come at home.
Outside of the division, the Packers face the Eagles, Commanders, Ravens, Bengals and Panthers at home.
On the road: Dallas, New York (N), Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Denver and Arizona.
It’s also a Green Bay team that could massively improve in 2025. Last year, they finished 0-4 SU against Detroit and Minnesota, with those four losses coming by a combined 17 points.
Across the entire six-game division schedule, Green Bay finished 1-5 with four losses coming by three or fewer points.
Historically, those games usually have 50-50 outcomes. If there’s positive regression in that category, it offers the Packers a stronger chance to win the division.
Pair those trends with strong play from the trenches and an improving defense, and I like the Packers to win the NFC North in 2025.
NFC North Standings & Live Odds
| Position | Team | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Lions | +120 |
| 2 | Green Bay Packers | +280 |
| 3 | Chicago Bears | +425 |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings | +475 |
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