- The Packers are -1 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (11-4-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Packers vs. Vikings Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | -1 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -110 |
| Vikings | +1 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -110 |
Packers vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jalen Nailor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Powell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 18.5 -110 | 18.5 -120 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 17.5 -120 | 17.5 -110 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -120 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 84.5 -115 | 84.5 -120 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 65.5 -110 | 65.5 -120 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 72.5 -115 | 72.5 -115 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.18 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.19 Units / 37% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.79 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.69 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 8-6 (+1.35 Units / 8.26% ROI).
- Packers are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 22.08% ROI
- Packers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI
- Packers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 28.05% ROI).
- Vikings are 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 42.04% ROI
- Vikings are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Vikings are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Packers are 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .303.
The Packers were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Packers are 7-3 (.700) after a win this season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
The Packers were 4-1 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Vikings were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Vikings are 2-1 (.667) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .307.
The Vikings are 5-1 (.833) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have run successful plays on 53.3% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 52.8% of pass attempts with a base front this season — T-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 50.9% of pass attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 49.2% of pass attempts this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 58.9% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 59.0% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 52.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on 55.4% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have been successful on 51.2% of plays they have run against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.9% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers ran successful plays on 64.9% of rush attempts last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed successful plays on 60.0% of rush attempts last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Packers have run successful plays on 14% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Packers ran successful plays on 61% of plays against a heavy rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Vikings have gone three and out on 5% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 56% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense did not allow scores on any opponent drives in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 33.7 on 3rd and long (66 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.6.
The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.1 (30 Pass Attempts) in Week 16 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 91.3.
The Packers defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 492 attempts (0%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts first read passes in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed 281 times this season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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