- The Saints are -4 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Carolina Panthers (0-0-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.
The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Panthers vs. Saints Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +4 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +165 |
| Saints | -4 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -200 |
Panthers vs. Saints Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Panthers vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
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Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 138% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chubba Hubbard (CAR) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Alvin Kamara (NO) | 30.5 -110 | 30.5 -120 |
| Adam Thielen (CAR) | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -120 |
| Rashid Shaheed (NO) | 32.5 -115 | 32.5 -115 |
| Diontae Johnson (CAR) | 48.5 -125 | 48.5 -105 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chubba Hubbard (CAR) | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
| Bryce Young (CAR) | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -120 |
| Derek Carr (NO) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Alvin Kamara (NO) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Panthers went 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Panthers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -9.21% ROI
- Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Saints went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Saints are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -32.43% ROI
- Saints are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Saints are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers were winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers were winless (0-9) on the road last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.
The Panthers were 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Saints were 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers intercepted 8 passes last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The Saints were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 defenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Saints were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints ran 51.9% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed their opponents to run49.1% of plays in their territory last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Saints ran successful plays on 45.9% of rush attempts with motion last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed successful plays on 46.2% of rush attempts against motion last season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Saints have been successful on 47.9% of plays they have run with motion since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.2% of plays against motion since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Panthers ran successful plays on just 36.6% of pass attempts with motion last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Saints allowed successful plays on just 40.1% of pass attempts against motion last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Saints allowed successful plays on 64.7% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Panthers ran successful plays on just 38.0% of pass attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL. The Saints allowed successful plays on just 41.2% of pass attempts with a base front last season — 4th-best in NFL.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
20% of the Panthers offense’s first downs (2 of 10) came through the air in Week 18 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Panthers have gone three and out 41 times in the 2nd quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
80% of the Panthers offense’s first downs (8 of 10) came on the ground in Week 18 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints averaged 0.26 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Saints ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Saints ran 43% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd quarter in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Saints threw the ball 75% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/16 plays) in close and late situations last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (422 carries) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
25% of the plays ran against the Panthers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
17% of the plays ran against the Panthers were in the red zone last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
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