- The 49ers’ 2024 win total is set at 11.5 wins at BetMGM.
- San Francisco has cleared this win total each of the last two seasons.
- Why the 49ers schedule could make it difficult to clear their win total.
For the 2024 NFL season, the 49ers win total sits at 11.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
San Francisco has established itself as the NFC standard. They’ve won the division two years on the bounce, reaching the conference championship in 2022 and the Super Bowl in 2023.
This season, San Francisco enters tied for the highest win total amongst all teams. If they clear 11.5 wins, it will mark the third consecutive year they’ve won at least 12 games.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for San Francisco’s 2024 win total.
49ers Win Total Odds
The 49ers’ season win total is set at 11.5 games.
The odds on San Francisco’s win total are shaded slightly to the under. As it stands, the price on the 49ers to win 11 or fewer games is -145 for an implied probability of 59.2%.
Comparatively, head coach Kyle Shanahan’s side is +120 to win 12 or more games. That produces an implied probability of 45.5%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC West teams:
- San Francisco 49ers: 11.5 Wins
- Los Angeles Rams: 8.5 Wins
- Seattle Seahawks: 7.5 Wins
- Arizona Cardinals: 6.5 Wins
49ers Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN 49ers Under 11.5 Wins (-125)
I rate the 49ers as the best team in football, but schedule makers did them zero favors.
San Francisco faces an average schedule in terms of difficulty – 18th-hardest, to be exact – but they play a number of games with a rest discrepancy.
All told San Francisco faces a -21 net rest disadvantage this season, according to sharpfootballanalysis.com.
Within that sample, eight of San Francisco’s 17 games come against an opponent who has more time to prepare for San Francisco.
On the other hand, San Francisco plays a measly two games where they have more time to prepare than their opponent.
That might not matter, especially when you consider San Francisco faced a -20 net rest disadvantage last year and still managed to win 12 games.
Additionally, it should be noted San Francisco ran slightly unlucky last season.
Most 49ers games ended in a blowout last season – they finished 11-2 in games decided by 10+ points.
However, the 49ers finished 0-2 in games decided by three or fewer points and 1-3 in games decided by seven or fewer points.
Based on expected record, the 49ers played more like a 13-4 team during the regular season.
But given the schedule disadvantage and the fact San Francisco plays a harder schedule this year, it’s the under or nothing for me.
49ers Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 11.5 | +120 | -145 |
| Week 2 | 11.5 | -130 | +110 |
| Week 3 | 11.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Week 4 | 10.5 | -110 | -110 |
Most Wins in 49ers History
The 49ers’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 15, occurring in 1984 when they won the Super Bowl.
The 49ers have won 14 or more regular season games in a season four times.
Fewest Wins in 49ers History
The fewest regular season wins in the 49ers’ franchise history is two, which has happened four times, most recently in 2016.
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