- The Ohio is a -6 point favorite vs. Buffalo
- The Buffalo vs. Ohio Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Buffalo Bulls (4-3) visit Peden Stadium to take on the Ohio Bobcats (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Athens, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Buffalo vs. Ohio Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | +6 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +185 |
| Ohio | -6 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -225 |
Buffalo vs Ohio Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Ohio, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Buffalo vs Ohio Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Buffalo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Ohio Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ohio have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Buffalo is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 77.27% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).
- Ohio is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Ohio is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Ohio is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio
Buffalo is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Buffalo is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Buffalo is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Buffalo is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Ohio is 8-1 (.889) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480
Ohio is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Ohio is 14-4 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .642
Ohio is 14-5 (.737) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .587
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Ohio
Ohio’s offense has thrown for 1,214 passing yards in 7 games (just 173.4 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 241.4 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has rushed for 2,294 yards on 526 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 3,297 passing yards in 19 games (just 173.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 193.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,324 passing yards in 19 games (just 174.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 193.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 3,297 passing yards in 19 games (just 173.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 193.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 3,324 passing yards in 19 games (just 174.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 193.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 27th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Buffalo has gained 3,324 yards on 305 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio’s offense has thrown for 1,214 passing yards in 7 games (just 173.4 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 241.4 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has rushed for 2,294 yards on 526 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio has gained 3,849 yards on 344 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 16 of 105 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Buffalo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (14 completions/33 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 23 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Buffalo has allowed 241.4 Passing Yards per game (1,690/7) this season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 217.7
Buffalo allowed first downs on 32% of rush attempts on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 132 of 584 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 132 of 584 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Ohio has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 214 attempts (1%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
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