- The Iowa St. is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Central Florida
- The UCF vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The UCF Knights (3-3) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (6-0) on Oct. 19 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The UCF vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
Bet now on Iowa St. vs Central Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UCF vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +13.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +425 |
| Iowa State | -13.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -600 |
UCF vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 82.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Iowa St., key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Iowa St. vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- UCF have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Whittemore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.79% ROI).
- UCF is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -21.46% ROI
- UCF is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI
- UCF is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.58% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 60% ROI).
- Iowa State is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 16.61% ROI
- Iowa State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Iowa State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
UCF is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
UCF is 9-10 (.474) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .627
UCF is 3-6 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
UCF is 9-10 (.474) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Iowa State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .722
Iowa State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692
Iowa State is 9-1 (.900) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Iowa State is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .623
Matchup Notes for UCF vs. Iowa State
Iowa State has gained 1,487 yards on 110 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 1,187 yards on 80 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 1,187 yards on 80 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 142 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs has gained 743 yards on 48 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF has gained 1,235 yards on 84 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 142 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs has gained 743 yards on 48 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF RBs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
UCF has gained 1,235 yards on 84 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players have caught just 2 of 14 passes (14% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 57%
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (339 yards/15 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Iowa State TEs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (117 yards/6 catches) in the 1st half this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
Iowa State WRs have averaged 27.3 yards per reception (519 yards/19 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged just 5.6 yards per reception (50 yards/9 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9
Iowa State has gained 1,487 yards on 110 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has allowed 6.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (143 yards / 24 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.6
UCF has averaged a sack every 40.8 pass attempts (204 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.4
UCF has allowed 6.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (143 yards / 24 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
UCF has averaged a sack every 40.8 pass attempts (204 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
UCF has allowed opponents to catch 18 of 23 passes (78% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (31 completions/74 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Iowa State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 654 carries (43.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 24.1
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (19 completions/51 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 55%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (31 completions/74 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (74 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
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