E Michigan vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Ohio head coach Tim Albin yells from the sideline during the first half of the Mid-American Conference championship NCAA college football game against Toledo, Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • Ohio is a -11.5 point favorite vs. E Michigan
  • Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) visit Peden Stadium to take on the Ohio Bobcats (6-3) on Nov. 13 in Athens, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eastern Michigan+11.5 -11551.5 -110+340
Ohio -11.5 -10551.5 -110-450

Eastern Michigan vs Ohio Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both E Michigan and Ohio, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Eastern Michigan vs Ohio Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 72.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Parker Navarro has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Coleman Owen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chase Hendricks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

E Michigan is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI).

  • Eastern Michigan is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.86% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.03% ROI).

  • Ohio is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 8.7% ROI
  • Ohio is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Ohio is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Eastern Michigan is 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Eastern Michigan is 10-9 (.526) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .621

Eastern Michigan is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Eastern Michigan is 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Ohio is 8-1 (.889) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

Ohio is 16-3 (.842) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .626

Ohio is 16-4 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .635

Ohio is 7-5 (.583) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401

Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio

Ohio’s RBs has gained 86 yards on 15 receptions (just 5.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 6.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio has 135 receptions in 9 games (just 15.0 per game) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s RBs has 15 receptions in 9 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 324 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has gained 258 yards on 26 receptions (9.9 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,006 yards on 252 carries (just 4.0 YPC) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 324 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 43 of their 682 total passing attempts (6%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Eastern Michigan Skill Players have averaged 21.9 receptions per game (197/9) this season– T-35th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged 102.9 rushing yards per game (2,263/22) since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Eastern Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 10.6 yards per reception (4,187 yards/394 catches) since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio Skill Players have just one touchdown on 41 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Ohio’s RBs has gained 86 yards on 15 receptions (just 5.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 6.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio has 135 receptions in 9 games (just 15.0 per game) this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio Skill Players have caught 18 of 21 passes (86% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 61%

Ohio’s RBs has 15 receptions in 9 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 15 of 97 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Eastern Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (21/232) this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 133 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (15 completions/31 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Eastern Michigan opponents has averaged just 12.9 Passing Attempts per TD (232 Pass Attempts/18 Passing TDs) this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 20.9

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio allowed 114.0 yards from scrimmage per game last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 379.4

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 34 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Ohio allowed 114.0 yards from scrimmage per game last week– best in FBS; Average: 365.6


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