- Fresno St is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
- Fresno State vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (1-7) on Nov. 9 in USAFA, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45pm EST.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Fresno State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
Bet now on Air Force vs Fresno St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Fresno State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | -10.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -400 |
| Air Force | +10.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +320 |
Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 88.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Air Force vs Fresno St and all games with BetMGM
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Bets Today
- Raylen Sharpe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- Fresno State is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -7.19% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Fresno State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 1-7 against the spread this college football season (-6.65 Units / -76% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Air Force is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Air Force is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Fresno State is 11-2 (.846) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .635
Fresno State is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .671
Fresno State is 10-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .623
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330
Air Force is winless (0-9) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Air Force is 2-8 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Air Force
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 121 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 121 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s TEs has 4 receptions in 8 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 381 receptions in 22 games (17.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 9.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has 542 receptions in 22 games (24.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State has 542 receptions in 22 games (24.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s WRs has 381 receptions in 22 games (17.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 9.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has 542 receptions in 22 games (24.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State has 542 receptions in 22 games (24.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 5,804 passing yards in 22 games (263.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 5,881 passing yards in 22 games (267.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 5.0 receptions per game (105/21) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 121 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 20.2 yards per reception (687 yards/34 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 6.5 receptions per game (52/8) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 121 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 55 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 55 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (405 completions/738 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Fresno State has allowed opponents to catch just 405 of 736 passes (55% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most in FBS
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has intercepted one of 174 attempts this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.5
Air Force has intercepted one of 174 attempts this season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.2
Air Force has allowed 111.1 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 173.3
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 69 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Air Force has one interception and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Bet now on Air Force vs Fresno St and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
