- The Kansas State is a -4 point favorite vs. Colorado
- The Kansas State vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Kansas State Wildcats (4-1) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. Colorado Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | -4 -110 | 56.5 -110 | -185 |
| Colorado | +4 -110 | 56.5 -110 | +150 |
Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs Colorado Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -23.15% ROI).
- Kansas State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.92% ROI
- Kansas State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.68% ROI
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Colorado is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 63.81% ROI
- Colorado is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Colorado is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
Kansas State is 12-4 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Kansas State is 7-3 (.700) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .543
Kansas State is 13-4 (.765) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .648
Kansas State is 13-4 (.765) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .593
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Colorado is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .544
Colorado is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
Colorado is 4-4 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Colorado is 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Colorado
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 199 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 199 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 1,630 passing yards in 5 games (326.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has 189 receptions in 18 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has 189 receptions in 18 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has 189 receptions in 18 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State WRs have no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Kansas State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State’s WRs has 189 receptions in 18 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has 189 receptions in 18 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 199 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 199 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 1,630 passing yards in 5 games (326.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 1,630 passing yards in 5 games (326.0 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado TEs have averaged just 4.2 yards per reception (17 yards/4 catches) in the 1st half this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 55 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 15%.
Kansas State opponents has averaged 7.3 Passing Attempts per TD (51 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Kansas State opponents has averaged 7.3 Passing Attempts per TD (51 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Kansas State has allowed opponents to catch just 17 of 51 passes (33% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Kansas State has allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (157 yards / 72 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado has allowed 56.4 receiving yards per game (282/5) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 23.8
Colorado has allowed first downs on 22% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 34%
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 51 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 51 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Colorado has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 35 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
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