- Auburn is a -28 point favorite vs. New Mexico
- New Mexico vs. Auburn Total(Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The New Mexico Lobos (0-2) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. Auburn Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | +28 -110 | 61.5 -110 | +1400 |
| Auburn | -28 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -5000 |
New Mexico vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- New Mexico is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- Auburn is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
New Mexico is 1-14 (.067) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
New Mexico is 1-13 (.071) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
New Mexico is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
New Mexico is 1-17 (.056) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Auburn is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Auburn is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294
Auburn is 1-5 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .431
Auburn is 2-6 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Auburn
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 616 passing yards in 2 games (308.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 313.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s QBs has thrown for 616 passing yards in 2 games (308.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 313.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn has gained 616 yards on 32 receptions (19.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 15.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs has rushed for 165 yards on 19 carries (8.7 YPC) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Auburn’s defense have allowed just 1.9 YPC this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Devon Dampier (NM) has rushed for 164 yards on 18 carries (9.1 YPC) this season — 2nd-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Auburn’s defense have allowed just 1.9 YPC this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 47 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19
New Mexico QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 5.1 yards per reception (61 yards/12 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
New Mexico RBs have averaged 5.5 Yards per Carry (2,036 yards/368 carries) since the 2023 season– T-26th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 14.4 receptions per game (375/26) since the 2022 season– 13th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (555 yards/23 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
Auburn WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (115 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4
Auburn Skill Players have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (616 yards/32 catches) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.5
Auburn WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (555 yards/23 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.7
Auburn WRs have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (211 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 21 of 376 attempts (6%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%
New Mexico has allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico has allowed 6 TD passes this season– T-most in FBS
New Mexico has no interceptions (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4
New Mexico has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 0.6
Auburn has no interceptions (70 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.5
Auburn has no interceptions (70 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 29.9
Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (28 completions/65 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 53%
Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: 17%.
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