- Northwestern is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Northwestern vs. Purdue Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Northwestern Wildcats (3-5) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-6) on Nov. 2 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Northwestern vs. Purdue Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northwestern | -1.5 -110 | 46.5 -105 | -120 |
| Purdue | +1.5 -110 | 46.5 -115 | +100 |
Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northwestern vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Purdue vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.15 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today
- Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryce Kirtz has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jahmal Edrine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.57% ROI).
- Northwestern is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.17% ROI
- Northwestern is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Northwestern is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Purdue is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Northwestern is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Northwestern is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Northwestern is undefeated (5-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .663
Northwestern is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Purdue is winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Purdue is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
Purdue is 4-13 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458
Purdue is 5-10 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677
Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Purdue
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 1,196 passing yards in 7 games (just 170.9 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 234.9 passing yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 1,196 passing yards in 7 games (just 170.9 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 234.9 passing yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue have just 171.9 receiving yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 234.9 receiving yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 1,282 passing yards in 8 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Purdue’s defense has allowed 234.9 passing yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 231 attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.8% of attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 231 attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.8% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.3 receptions (79 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8
Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 1,282 passing yards in 8 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Purdue’s defense has allowed 234.9 passing yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.3 receptions (79 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 30.8 receptions (123 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 30.8 receptions (123 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue RBs have averaged 13.1 Yards per Carry (289 yards/22 carries) in close and late situations this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Purdue RBs have averaged 9.4 Yards per Carry (347 yards/37 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 1,196 passing yards in 7 games (just 170.9 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 234.9 passing yards per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue RBs have fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Purdue RBs have averaged 8.9 Yards per Carry (632 yards/71 carries) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 3 of their 39 carries (8%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (9 completions/29 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 9 of 29 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Northwestern has no interceptions (73 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.3
Northwestern has no interceptions (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.3
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (1,644 yards/111 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9
Purdue has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (4,542 yards/312 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has allowed 9.6 Yards per Attempt (1,644 yards/171 attempts) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.7
Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 27 of 171 attempts (16%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Purdue has allowed 22 TDs in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.9
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