- Ohio State is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- Ohio State vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (4-5) on Nov. 16 in Chicago, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-115).
The Ohio State vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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Ohio State vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ohio State | -28.5 -115 | 44.5 -110 | + |
| Northwestern | +28.5 -105 | 44.5 -110 | + |
Ohio State vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ohio State vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 86.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 0% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Ohio State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 0.27% ROI
- Ohio State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Ohio State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.55% ROI).
- Northwestern is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.87% ROI
- Northwestern is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Northwestern is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Ohio State is 13-3 (.812) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Ohio State is winless (0-2) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .285
Ohio State is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429
Ohio State is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Northwestern is undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Northwestern is 6-9 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Northwestern is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .540
Northwestern is 6-9 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .537
Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Northwestern
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 270 attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 1,584 passing yards in 9 games (just 176.0 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 155.6 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has gained 1,584 yards on 148 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 261 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 2,429 passing yards in 9 games (269.9 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 9 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 261 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 2,429 passing yards in 9 games (269.9 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 9 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Skill Players picked up first downs on 5 receptions on 1st down last week– most among Big Ten Teams
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 261 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 270 attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 1,584 passing yards in 9 games (just 176.0 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 155.6 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has gained 1,584 yards on 148 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-12th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has gained 1,584 yards on 148 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s QBs has thrown for 1,584 passing yards in 9 games (just 176.0 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 155.6 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents has averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (603 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7
Ohio State opponents has averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (603 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.6
Ohio State has not recorded a sack (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.9
Ohio State opponents has averaged 56.8 Passing Attempts per TD (227 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (603 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.4
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 11 of 32 passes (34% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (11 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has no interceptions (82 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 45.5
Northwestern has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (11 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
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