- Ohio State is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Notre Dame
- Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) on Jan. 20 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in the National Championship game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ohio State | -8.5 -110 | 45.5 -105 | -350 |
| Notre Dame | +8.5 -110 | 45.5 -115 | +280 |
Ohio State vs Notre Dame Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 76.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ohio State vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 78% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaden Greathouse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Beaux Collins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Ohio State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Ohio State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Ohio State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Notre Dame is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Notre Dame is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Notre Dame is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Ohio State is 16-4 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .441
Ohio State is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Ohio State is 11-1 (.917) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .574
Ohio State is 16-1 (.941) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .734
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Notre Dame is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Notre Dame is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .441
Notre Dame is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Notre Dame is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .443
Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame’s QBs has thrown for 2,878 passing yards in 15 games (just 191.9 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 161.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame has gained 2,912 yards on 272 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 1,941 yards on 166 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 833 attempts since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 434 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 833 attempts since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 434 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has 562 receptions in 28 games (20.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 3,977 passing yards in 15 games (265.1 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 165.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame’s QBs has thrown for 2,878 passing yards in 15 games (just 191.9 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 161.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame has gained 2,912 yards on 272 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 1,941 yards on 166 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 1,941 yards on 166 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame has gained 2,912 yards on 272 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents has averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Ohio State opponents has averaged 82.0 Passing Attempts per TD (328 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 82.0 Passing Attempts per TD (328 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.9
Ohio State opponents has averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.9
Ohio State opponents has averaged 82.0 Passing Attempts per TD (328 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (381 completions/742 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame opponents has averaged 39.1 Passing Attempts per TD (742 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (186 completions/371 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Notre Dame has allowed 159.8 Passing Yards per game (4,155/26) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 220.8
Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (185 completions/359 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
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