- Oregon is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
- Oregon vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Oregon Ducks (8-0) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (5-3) on Nov. 2 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).
The Oregon vs. Michigan Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Oregon vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Oregon | -14.5 -115 | 45.5 -110 | -750 |
Michigan | +14.5 -105 | 45.5 -110 | +525 |
Oregon vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.30 Units / 130% ROI)
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kalel Mullings has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).
- Oregon is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 5.73% ROI
- Oregon is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Oregon is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -51.98% ROI).
- Michigan is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 3.24% ROI
- Michigan is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Michigan is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Oregon is 10-1 (.909) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Oregon is 20-1 (.952) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .585
Oregon is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .660
Oregon is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .610
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Michigan is undefeated (16-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679
Michigan is 12-1 (.923) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .538
Michigan is undefeated (9-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .625
Michigan is 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485
Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Michigan
Michigan’s WRs has gained 404 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,044 passing yards in 8 games (just 130.5 YPG) this season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 173.8 passing yards per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,044 yards on 115 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has gained 609 yards on 43 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has 43 receptions in 8 games (5.4 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon has averaged 32.2 targets per game this season — 4th-highest among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon TEs have no touchdowns on 43 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8
Oregon’s TEs has gained 609 yards on 43 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (615 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Oregon WRs have averaged just 6.7 yards per reception (155 yards/23 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.3
Oregon Skill Players have caught 39 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan’s WRs has gained 404 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,044 passing yards in 8 games (just 130.5 YPG) this season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 173.8 passing yards per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,044 yards on 115 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s TEs has 56 receptions in 8 games (7.0 per game) this season — 4th-best among FBS TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,044 yards on 115 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon opponents has averaged 59.2 Passing Attempts per TD (237 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
Oregon opponents has averaged 59.2 Passing Attempts per TD (237 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.9
Oregon opponents has averaged 59.2 Passing Attempts per TD (237 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 24.6
Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (21 completions/43 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%
Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 12 passes (33% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big Ten
Michigan has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Michigan has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (3/23) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5%
Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 50% of pass attempts (3/6) on 1st down last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5%
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