South Carolina vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Citrus Bowl

Illinois head coach Bret Bielema watches from the sideline during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 15-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • South Carolina is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
  • South Carolina vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The South Carolina Gamecocks (9-3) visit Camping World Stadium to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (9-3) on Dec. 31 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

South Carolina is a betting favorite in the Cirtus Bowl, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The South Carolina vs. Illinois Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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South Carolina vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Carolina-9.5 -11047.5 -110-350
Illinois +9.5 -11047.5 -110+280

South Carolina vs Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Carolina will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Carolina vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tanner Arkin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Luke Altmyer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Josh McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Pat Bryant has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.35% ROI).

  • South Carolina is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 12.56% ROI
  • South Carolina is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • South Carolina is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.75 Units / 36.12% ROI).

  • Illinois is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 6.84% ROI
  • Illinois is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Illinois is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

South Carolina is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .637

South Carolina is 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .434

South Carolina is 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .575

South Carolina is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

Illinois is 9-4 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .597

Illinois is 6-2 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .631

Illinois is 5-3 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .434

Illinois is 13-5 (.722) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .630

Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Illinois

Illinois’s TEs has 20 receptions in 12 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois has gained 5,738 yards on 459 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 20 receptions in 12 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 305 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 305 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 305 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 305 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has gained 3,832 yards on 259 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois Skill Players have averaged 18.3 yards per reception (531 yards/29 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5

Illinois Skill Players have just one touchdown on 47 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5

Illinois’s TEs has 20 receptions in 12 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois has gained 5,738 yards on 459 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois Skill Players have averaged 15.9 yards per reception (810 yards/51 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.4

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– highest in FBS; Average: 8%

South Carolina’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 27% of PATs this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (19 completions/48 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 54%

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 61 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 61 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 408 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 30 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams

Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 61 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.