South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Vanderbilt running back Sedrick Alexander (28) runs for a short yardage gain against Mississippi during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023. Mississippi won 33-7. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:33 PM
  • South Carolina is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
  • South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

The South Carolina Gamecocks (5-3) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-3) on Nov. 9 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EST.

South Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Carolina-3.5 -11046.5 -110-165
Vanderbilt +3.5 -11046.5 -110+140

South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Carolina will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • South Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • LaNorris Sellers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quincy Skinner Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Diego Pavia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Junior Sherrill has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Stowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI).

  • South Carolina is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 8.16% ROI
  • South Carolina is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • South Carolina is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units / 32.29% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

South Carolina is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .397

South Carolina is 3-7 (.300) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

South Carolina is 2-8 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .472

South Carolina is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

Vanderbilt is 8-7 (.533) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .675

Vanderbilt is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .437

Vanderbilt is 5-11 (.312) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598

Vanderbilt is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508

Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 606 yards on 46 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 7.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 82 receptions in 21 games (3.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Carolina’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.

South Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,796 yards on 439 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. Vanderbilt’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among SEC Teams

South Carolina’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Carolina Skill Players had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

South Carolina TEs have averaged 28.2 yards per reception (169 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

South Carolina’s WRs has 217 receptions in 20 games (just 10.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt’s WRs has averaged 14.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Vanderbilt TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 606 yards on 46 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 7.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt WRs have averaged just 6.1 receptions per game (55/9) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.8

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (6 completions/21 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (6 completions/21 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (31/245) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (14 completions/35 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 60%

South Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (31/245) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 6% of pass attempts (42/694) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to catch 470 of 692 passes (68% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Vanderbilt has tackled opponents for a loss on 53 of 269 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Vanderbilt has allowed 7.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (517 yards / 67 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2

Vanderbilt allowed 454.9 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 359.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.