Troy vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Memphis quarterback Seth Henigan (5) looks to pass during the second half of the First Responder Bowl NCAA college football game against Utah State, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Dallas. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)
(AP Photo/Sam Hodde)
  • Memphis is a -18.5 point favorite vs. Troy
  • Troy vs. Memphis Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Troy Trojans 0-1 visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers 1-0 on Sep. 7 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Memphis Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+18.5 -11057.5 -110+750
Memphis -18.5 -11057.5 -110-1200

Troy vs Memphis Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 88.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Troy vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Memphis and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today

        Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        Troy is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

        • Troy was 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -100% ROI
        • Troy was 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
        • Troy was 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

        Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        Memphis is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 86.96% ROI).

        • Memphis was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
        • Memphis was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

        Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

        Troy is 18-1 (.857) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .441

        Troy is 17-1 (.895) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

        Troy is 18-1 (.783) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

        Troy is 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

        Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

        Memphis was undefeated (5-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .497

        Memphis was 6-1 (.857) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415

        Memphis is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .566

        Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427

        Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Memphis

        Memphis’s offense threw for 3,663 passing yards in 12 games (305.2 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

        Memphis’s RBs averaged 7.3 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense allowed 3.6 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Memphis’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 452 attempts last season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Troy’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 415 attempts last season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.4% of attempts last season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

        Troy gained 3,320 yards on 253 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception last season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

        Troy’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 415 attempts last season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.4% of attempts last season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

        Troy Skill Players have caught 18 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

        Troy gained 3,320 yards on 253 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception last season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Troy Skill Players have 27 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

        Troy Skill Players caught 9 touchdown passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

        Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

        Memphis’s offense threw for 3,663 passing yards in 12 games (305.2 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed just 196.2 passing yards per game last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

        Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

        Memphis’s RBs averaged 7.3 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense allowed 3.6 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Memphis’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 452 attempts last season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

        Memphis RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

        Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

        Troy opponents has averaged 32.3 Passing Attempts per TD (936 Pass Attempts/29 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.0

        Troy sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

        Troy has allowed just 10.2 yards per completion (5,894 yards/580 completions) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

        Troy opponents has averaged 32.3 Passing Attempts per TD (936 Pass Attempts/29 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 20.4

        Troy opponents averaged 33.5 Passing Attempts per TD (435 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8

        Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

        Memphis has averaged a sack every 46.5 pass attempts (93 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

        Memphis has allowed 14 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

        Memphis has allowed 14 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– T-most in FBS

        Memphis has averaged a sack every 46.5 pass attempts (93 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

        Memphis allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%


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        About the Author

        Nick Hennion

        Read More @nickhennion

        Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

        Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.