Washington vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2024, 4:10 PM

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Indiana wide receiver Donaven McCulley (1) runs during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Indiana State, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)

(AP Photo/Darron Cummings)

The Indiana is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Washington
The Washington vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

The Washington Huskies (4-3) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (7-0) on Oct. 26 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Washington vs. Indiana Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Washington vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Washington	+6.5 -105	53.5 -115	+200
Indiana	-6.5 -115	53.5 -105	-250

Washington vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Washington Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Washington has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Indiana have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington Player Prop Bets Today

Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Giles Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Denzel Boston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4.52% ROI).

Washington is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -3.77% ROI
Washington is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Washington is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.23% ROI).

Indiana is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 6.49% ROI
Indiana is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
Indiana is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Washington is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .505

Washington is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532

Washington is 17-2 (.895) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .610

Washington is 9-2 (.818) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .531

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Indiana is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441

Indiana is 1-5 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Indiana is undefeated (5-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696

Matchup Notes for Washington vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.8% of 202 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 2,172 passing yards in 7 games (310.3 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed just 123.0 passing yards per game this season — best among FBS defenses.

Washington has 555 receptions in 22 games (25.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs has gained 1,462 yards on 120 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s QBs has thrown for 2,172 passing yards in 7 games (310.3 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Washington’s defense has allowed just 123.0 passing yards per game this season — best among P5 defenses.

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (87 completions/183 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Washington opponents has averaged 5.7 Passing Attempts per TD (86 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 12% (2 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 57%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (87 completions/183 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (87 completions/183 attempts) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 21 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 48 of 196 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 12 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.

Indiana has allowed first downs on 6% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 24%

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 48 of 196 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.