Washington St vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty runs for a short gain in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado State on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Fort Collins, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Boise St is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Washington St
  • The Washington State vs. Boise State Total(Over/Under): 63.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Washington State Cougars (4-0) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (2-1) on Sep. 28 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Washington State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State+7.5 -11063.5 -110+225
Boise State -7.5 -11063.5 -110-275

Washington State vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Boise St vs Washington St and all games with BetMGM


  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+1.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyle Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI).

  • Washington State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 52.78% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • Boise State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Boise State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
  • Boise State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .651

Washington State is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .507

Washington State is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .685

Washington State is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .445

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Boise State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548

Boise State is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .507

Boise State is 7-4 (.636) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .457

Boise State is 3-6 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. Boise State

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 895 yards on 93 carries (9.6 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 895 yards on 93 carries (9.6 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s defense has allowed 36.8 pass attempts per sack this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

No notes available for this game

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State QBs have rushed for 98 yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Washington State Punters have punted 0.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

Washington State WRs averaged 21.8 receptions per game (262/12) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0

Washington State WRs have averaged 20.1 receptions per game (321/16) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0

Washington State WRs have averaged 20.1 receptions per game (321/16) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have averaged 14.7 Yards per Carry (367 yards/25 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 9.6 Yards per Carry (895 yards/93 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Boise State RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (542 yards / 53 touches) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Boise State RBs have averaged 7.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,509 yards / 325 touches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has allowed 116 completions this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State has allowed 6 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State has allowed 116 completions this season– most in FBS

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 46.0 passes per game this season– highest in FBS; Average: 30.1

Opponents have averaged 29.0 completions per game (116 / 4) against Washington State this season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.1

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has no interceptions (91 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.9

Boise State has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

Boise State has no interceptions (91 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

Boise State has no interceptions and 4 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 20% of pass attempts (4/20) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.