- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Athletics TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA
The Houston Astros (-145) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Astros are 23-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 24-29 ATS.
Astros vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 2-4, 7.24 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 3-3, 4.31 ERA
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -145 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +120 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 24 games (+21.65 Units / 90% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+22.20 Units / 185% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (+2.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.55 Units / 3% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 21-30 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -14.44% ROI).
- 23-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -19.77% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -14.84% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 6.8% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-29 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -16.19% ROI).
- 21-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -6.07% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.78% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -8.84% ROI
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears (OAK) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .550 (40 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.240 (40 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .717 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (34/100) against Spencer Arrighetti this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Spencer Arrighetti when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (16 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (32/193) against JP Sears this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
JP Sears has struck out just 14% (24/169) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .482 (164 Total Bases / 340 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 104-28 (.788) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are just 22-82 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Astros are 125-91 (.579) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros are 17-17 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 38-77 (.330) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 69-118 (.369) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 131-246 (.347) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 747 strikeouts in 4,255 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,944/14,261 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 2,011 strikeouts in 10,006 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .298 on fastballs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .224 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,699 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .220 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .216 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (896.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 5.64 runs per game (604/107) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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