- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Athletics are 48-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 53-62 ATS.
Athletics vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 7-7, 4.43 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 9-9, 4.13 ERA
Athletics vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -140 |
Athletics vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 35 games (+27.40 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+20.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 40 games (+47.95 Units / 120% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+15.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 45 games (+23.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 67% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 60-56 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -3.88% ROI).
- 48-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -12.45% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 2.47% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 53-62 against the Run Line (-20.9 Units / -13.39% ROI).
- 53-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 63-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +9 Units / 7.13% ROI
- 49-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.65 Units / -16.29% ROI
Blue Jays vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (115/189) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Mitch Spence when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (92/189) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has not allowed a hit to any of the last 32 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — A.J. Puk has the longest active streak at 49.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 (25-for-75) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 16% (15 SO in 94 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — seventh Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .428 (110 Total Bases / 257 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (193/971) against Jose Berrios this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Athletics are just 158-281 (.360) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 14-26 (.350) after a road loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Athletics are just 43-94 (.314) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Blue Jays are just 8-55 (.127) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Blue Jays are 35-28 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 15-31 (.326) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are just 7-17 (.292) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .204 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Athletics are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Athletics are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (16,129 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (3,587 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Blue Jays hitters have just 693 strikeouts in 3,587 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .203 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .624 (1,302 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (1159.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have walked 233 of 2,450 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH this season (2,967 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Blue Jays vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Soderstrom (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Esteury Ruiz (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Michael Kelly (Oakland Athletics): Suspension, Suspension
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Darell Hernaiz (Oakland Athletics): Ankle, 60-Day IL
- Dany Jimenez (Oakland Athletics): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Paul Blackburn (Oakland Athletics): Foot, 60-Day IL
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