- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Athletics are 69-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 72-88 ATS.
Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 7-9, 5.03 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 4-4, 4.75 ERA
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -105 | -150 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 35 games (+23.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+18.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 32 games (+29.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 76 away games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games at home (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 85-75 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -2.46% ROI).
- 69-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.18% ROI
- 75-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 82-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.63% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 72-88 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -9.61% ROI).
- 83-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 73-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 77-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.8% ROI
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (42/182) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (107/431) against Joey Estes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (55/214) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (49/186) against Joey Estes on non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (8/33) against Emerson Hancock this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Emerson Hancock did not walk any of the 20 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (4/44 PA’s) this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has walked 1 of 44 batters (2%) this month (2 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 36-62 (.367) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Athletics are just 13-158 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 79-45 (.637) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are just 63-16 (.797) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Mariners are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Mariners are just 15-25 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .219 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics are batting just .218 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .228 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .300 (8,875 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .213 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners have scored first in 74% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 364 of 5,722 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .252 (1,422 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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