- The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NSCA | MLBN
The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Thursday, August 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Athletics are 51-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 58-62 ATS.
Athletics vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 7-8, 4.38 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-8, 4.08 ERA
Athletics vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -120 | +155 |
| Mets | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 +100 | -190 |
Athletics vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daz Cameron has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+16.60 Units / 128% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle McCann has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 35 games (+31.50 Units / 90% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+16.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.15 Units / 47% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 away games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 63-58 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.47% ROI).
- 51-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.56% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -11.33% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.47% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 58-62 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 62-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.37% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -8.64% ROI
Mets vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (127/207) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 48% of the time (99/207) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has thrown breaking pitches 63% of the time (305/486) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .289 (13-for-45) against Mitch Spence in his last two starts — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — 12th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (965/1,646) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (352/715) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (328/584) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (582/1,170) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Athletics are just 98-149 (.397) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Athletics are just 49-81 (.377) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Athletics are just 161-283 (.363) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mets are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 122-29 (.808) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mets are just 49-6 (.891) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mets are 81-35 (.698) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .205 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,163 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .292 (7,982 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .446 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .743 (8,606 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Mets are batting .351 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Mets hitters have 118 extra-base hits out of 289 total hits (41%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.51 (1202.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Athletics pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 238 of 2,485 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 32 of 233 batters (14%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 457 of 4,584 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Soderstrom (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Esteury Ruiz (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Michael Kelly (Oakland Athletics): Suspension, Suspension
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Darell Hernaiz (Oakland Athletics): Ankle, 60-Day IL
- Dany Jimenez (Oakland Athletics): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Paul Blackburn (Oakland Athletics): Foot, 60-Day IL
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