- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 73-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 80-74 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-6, 4.31 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 6-11, 4.39 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+17.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 48 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.25 Units / 178% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 58 away games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+75.95 Units / 155% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.98 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 91 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 83 of their last 145 games (+15.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 75-79 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -8.8% ROI).
- 73-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.05 Units / -8.04% ROI
- 78-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.02 Units / -0.01% ROI
- 71-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -9% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 80-74 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.48% ROI).
- 76-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.11 Units / -4.97% ROI
- 67-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.2 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 82-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 5.05% ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (120/328) against Yariel Rodriguez on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has located his fastball up for a strike just 52% (170/328) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (26/95) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 32 of Yariel Rodriguez’s 187 elevated fastballs out of the zone (17%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .760 (19 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of 1.204 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .614 — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OBP of .444 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .278 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 8-27 (.229) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are just 17-70 (.195) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 12-123 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are just 20-38 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 131-5 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 35-63 (.357) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays hitters have just 806 strikeouts in 4,012 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .648 (1,368 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .212 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 324 strikeouts in 1,308 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .365 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .658 (4,421 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,251 of 17,661 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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